The Euro Debate 
Polls predict a no vote
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In ICM's poll in February 2002, people were asked if they would vote yes or no to the euro. From a sample of 3,008 adults, 54 per cent said they would oppose entry compared with just 32 per cent who would back the currency. In June 2002, ICM re-interviewed 339 people who had said that they were planning to travel to Europe before June and asked the same question without reminding them of their previous answer. Instead of support surging following their visits, it rose by just four percentage points - an increase described as "small and statistically insignificant". The overall impact on national opinion is even smaller, however, because only four in ten people will travel to the 12 eurozone countries this summer. A report by ICM's head of research, Nick Sparrow, obtained by The Telegraph, predicted that the results, if repeated on a national scale, would boost the yes campaign by a mere two points, to 34 per cent. The no vote would fall from 54 per cent to 52 per cent. |